Key interpretation of the guiding opinions on the

Key interpretation of the guiding opinions on the development of the paper industry during the 13th Five Year Plan period

release date: Source: China paper magazine editor: Yu Jia Views: 5544 copyright and disclaimer

core tip: on June 28, 2017, the opinions of the China Paper Association on the development of the paper industry during the 13th Five Year Plan period (hereinafter referred to as the "opinions") was officially released. The opinions analyzes the current situation, existing problems and new situation of China's paper industry, and defines the development goals and key tasks of the paper industry during the 13th five year plan. At the 2017 China International Paper innovation and development forum, Zhao Wei, chairman of China Paper Association, made a key interpretation of the opinions

[China Packaging News] on June 28, 2017, the opinions of China Paper Association on the development of the paper industry during the 13th Five Year Plan period (hereinafter referred to as the "opinions") was officially released. The opinions analyzes the current situation, existing problems and new situation of China's paper industry, and defines the development goals and key tasks of the paper industry during the 13th five year plan. At the China International Papermaking innovation and development forum, the chairman of China papermaking association, Zhao Wei, made a key interpretation of the opinions

1 positioning and necessity of the industry

1.1 positioning of the industry

first of all, let's introduce whether the fourth (expanded) meeting of the fourth council of China Paper Association has the positioning and necessity of the paper industry cable industry. The content of the meeting is relatively large. First, according to the national development and Reform Commission and the State Council, the paper industry is positioned as an important basic raw material industry closely related to national economic and social development and with the characteristics of sustainable development, including pulp manufacturing, paper manufacturing and paper products manufacturing. The second is related to the upstream and downstream industrial chain, that is, the industry involves agriculture, forestry, chemical industry, machinery, electronics, energy, transportation and other fields. Third, the relevance of products. Paper and paperboard products are widely used in various fields such as industry and agriculture, national defense and people's life. The consumption level of paper and paperboard is an important symbol to directly measure a country's economy and civilization, which also shows the important position of the paper industry in the national economy

1.2 the development situation of the "13th five year plan" requires that the "13th five year plan" period is the key period for China to build a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way, the main strategic opportunity period for China's economic and social development, and the prominent contradiction of resource and environmental constraints. The reform and development of China's paper industry is at this important historical node. Therefore, the China Paper Association issued opinions on the development of the paper industry during the 13th five year plan, so as to coordinate the overall development of the industry, the development of the industry region, the harmonious development of the industry and the environment, the domestic development and foreign development, lay a solid foundation for accelerating the modernization and sustainable development of China's paper industry, and promote China's paper industry to move forward from a large paper country to a modern power

1.3 adapt to the needs of the "13th five year plan"

positioning is the basis of the main research. According to the outline of the 13th five year plan for national economic and social development of the people's Republic of China, the national economy will maintain medium to high growth, with an expected GDP growth rate of 6.5%. By 2020, the GDP and per capita income of urban and rural residents will double that of 2010, and the urbanization target will reach 60%. There is still room for development and adjustment of market capacity. Two doubles and one urbanization rate, these two major problems directly bring huge development space for the paper industry and the demand for paper consumption. Because paper and paperboard are both raw materials and products with consumption functions, they are closely related to the overall future economic trend and development

2 current situation and existing problems of the industry

2.1 current situation of the industry

after the rapid development of production capacity in the "Tenth Five Year Plan", "Eleventh Five Year Plan" and "Twelfth Five Year Plan", China's paper industry has successfully solved the historical problem of supply shortage, achieved a basic balance between production and demand, and entered the ranks of the world's major paper makers. The main feature of this stage of development is to rely on large-scale investment, introduce international advanced technology and equipment, and rapidly expand production capacity. In the 15 years from 2001 to 2015, the investment in fixed assets for the new reconstruction and expansion of the paper industry reached 1.9 trillion yuan, with an average annual growth of nearly 20%. With the support of huge funds, the output of primary pulp has increased, the proportion of high-grade paper products has increased, the output of paper and paperboard and domestic consumption have ranked first in the world for seven consecutive years, and the product quality has reached or approached the world-class level. China's paper industry is facing the world's largest and most promising domestic consumption market of paper and paperboard and the world's major manufacturing sites. The consumption of paper and paperboard exceeds 1/2 of the total consumption in Asia, accounting for about 1/4 of the total consumption in the world. In 2015, the output and apparent consumption of paper and paperboard in China were 107.1 million tons and 103.52 million tons respectively

2.2 existing problems

according to the development at the end of the 12th Five Year Plan and the 13th five year plan, the paper industry has the following main problems

first, the growth rate of paper and paperboard production and consumption at the end of the 12th Five Year Plan is significantly lower than that of the ninth five year plan, the Tenth Five Year Plan and the eleventh five year plan, and the growth rate of consumption is significantly lower than that of production

second, resources, environment, structure and energy. These bottlenecks have compressed the capacity expansion space of the industry

third, there are problems of unreasonable product structure and structural and phased surplus of some products, but the total amount still belongs to the state of basic balance between supply and demand

fourth, the dependence of raw materials on foreign countries continues to increase. In the current raw material structure, commercial pulp accounts for 16%, completely relying on overseas imports; Waste pulp accounts for 40% - 45%, of which 24% needs to be imported. Waste pulp + commercial pulp, 40% of the raw material structure needs to be imported from abroad, and the raw materials are highly dependent on foreign countries

fifth, environmental pressure. Affected by the economic environment, the export growth rate of China's manufacturing industry has declined, resulting in a decline in the demand growth rate of commodity packaging materials, and electronic media and publishing have an impact on the demand for printing paper. In 2017, the release of the State Council's "implementation plan for prohibiting the entry of foreign garbage and promoting the reform of the solid waste import management system" had a significant impact on China's paper industry and attracted great attention from the industry

3 guiding ideology and basic principles

here we focus on the guiding ideology and basic principles for the development of the entire "13th five year plan" of China's paper industry, which is basically in accordance with the national "13th five year plan", easy to use but combined with the characteristics of the paper industry. Here, the development concept of "innovation, coordination, green, openness and sharing" is put forward. At the same time, it is proposed to take structural adjustment as the main line, scientific and technological innovation as the driving force, and the construction of resource-saving and environment-friendly modern paper industry as the goal. This is the main idea of the development goal of the paper industry in the 13th five year plan. Specifically, under the premise of ensuring supply, how to make up for shortcomings and speed up the adjustment of industrial structure. On the other hand, it is how to do a good job of overall development. At present, due to the transformation and reform of government functions, some approvals in the past were issued to local governments, and the degree of decentralization is also different. How to coordinate and coordinate the development may be a problem that the industry needs to pay attention to in the future

basic principles: first, adhere to the market to determine resource allocation; Second, adhere to innovation driven transformation and upgrading; Third, adhere to the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure; Fourth, adhere to green and low-carbon circular development

4 development goals

the specific development goals involve production, energy, water resources and other aspects. Here is a brief introduction to the main development goals

first, make the industrial structure more reasonable and improve the quality of development and economic benefits. This is not about the quantity of development, but about the quality of development, emphasizing that development is not a simple repetition

the second is to prevent the blind expansion of production capacity on the basis of ensuring domestic demand and supply. The national development and Reform Commission has made clear its positioning in the paper industry development policy issued in 2007. China's paper industry is an industry that mainly meets domestic demand. Of course, it is not against market globalization, nor will it hinder the internationalization of enterprises. However, due to the particularity of the paper industry, its development focus is mainly to meet domestic demand, so we should correctly understand China's industrial policy in the consideration of many issues

4.1 total scale

theoretically, it is estimated that at the end of the 13th five year plan, the total consumption of paper and paperboard in China is expected to reach 111 million tons, with an average annual growth of 1.4%, and the annual per capita consumption is expected to reach 81 kg, an increase of 5 kg over 2015; The capacity of new construction, expansion and transformation of paper and paperboard is expected to be 16million tons, including the elimination of existing backward capacity of about 8million tons; The total capacity of paper and paperboard is expected to be about 136 million tons, and the total output is expected to reach 115.55 million tons, with an average annual growth of 1.5%. The total consumption of paper and paperboard in China is 111million tons, which is a theoretical derivation. Some unforeseen factors need to be considered in the subsequent development process. It is now difficult for us to determine the future growth of China's paper industry through actual production, because the economic situation in the 11th five year plan is relatively serious, and many plans are formulated under conservative conditions, with a higher development speed than the plan

4.2 raw material structure

it is estimated that by 2020, the proportion of wood pulp, waste pulp and non wood pulp in the raw material structure will be adjusted from 27.9%, 65.1% and 7.0% in 2015 to 28.6%, 65.0% and 6.4%; The proportion of domestic wood pulp increased from 9.8% in 2015 to 10.5%, while continuing to promote the implementation of the national "forest paper integration" special plan; The proportion of waste paper pulp remained at 65%, the consumption of waste paper pulp increased by 6.7 million tons, and the utilization of waste paper increased by 7.5 million tons; The output of non wood pulp is maintained at about 6million tons

4.3 product structure and enterprise structure

we hope to cultivate enterprises with an annual output of one million tons. It is expected that by the end of the 13th five year plan, more than 20 large pulp and paper enterprise groups with an annual output of more than one million tons will be formed

4.4 technical equipment and pollutant emission reduction

technical equipment, the goal is to strengthen the construction of independent innovation ability, focus on the development of independent technology and products, and improve the design integration ability and the overall level of paper industry production process and technical equipment. In terms of pollutant emission reduction, we should cooperate to achieve the goal of reducing the water consumption per 10000 yuan of GDP by 23% during the 13th Five Year Plan period; Cooperate to achieve the goal of reducing energy consumption per unit of GDP by 15%; Cooperate to achieve the goal of reducing the total discharge of COD and ammonia nitrogen by 10%; Cooperate to achieve the goal of reducing the total emission of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides by 15%. Theoretically, it is very difficult to complete these indicators, but the national "13th five year plan" goal clearly puts forward this requirement, so the industry must do it

5 key tasks

(1) adjust the regional structure of industry and promote the coordinated development of industry

(2) optimize the scale and structure of enterprises and promote enterprise mergers and acquisitions

(3) improve the structure of fiber raw materials and increase the effective domestic supply

(4) strengthen cleaner production and promote the development of circular economy

(5) improve the level of environmental management and reduce the level of pollution emissions

(6) implement the "three products" strategy and adjust and improve the product structure

(7) promote the development of technology and equipment and enhance core competitiveness

(8) promote the integration of industrialization and industrialization and improve the level of intelligent manufacturing

(9) expand the development space of enterprises and reduce business risks

(10) strengthen the recycling of waste paper and promote green and low-carbon consumption

(11) advocate enterprise society,